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Wind Luxem ZanderTier 1

at The Gauntlet 2025

decks
4 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30 13-4-13
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.5% avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
61.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
64.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1545 · median 1511 · range 1423–1736 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1345 Q1 1434 Q3 1600 1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 42.9% 17 9-1-7 73.5% 69.0% 75.3% +10.0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.1% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 40.0% -6.4
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.4% -1.2
Fire Aggro 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.8% +15.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.6% 0
Fire Exia 3.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.6% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.7% +23.5
Water Allies 3.6% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 44.1% -5.6
Water Crux Lorraine 3.6% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 44.1% -5.6
Wind Allies 3.6% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Winbless Lookout +1.00 1 0 0
Gleaming Cut +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/27981/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander